Here they are!!!
Hurricane Alex
Alex, formed from a upper level area of low pressure/Cold core low pressure area. That moved southwest then westward into the Western Atlatnic. On the 30th of August this low pressure moved into the Northern Bahamas. The system quickly shown signs of tropical cyclone formation that day. With banding/Convection forming near the center of the low. The system slowly became better oreganized. In by 1800z 31, of July. The nhc upgraded it to a tropical depression. The system kept moving to the northwest. Then the steering currents weaken for a short time. The system shown on (A) shows that the system was weak into August 1st. The system was being sheared by southwestly winds over the next 24 hours. A trough centered over the east coast was starting to pick it up. But also because the system was with in the southeast quad. The system was now with in a area of some what more favable upper level wind shear/Favable Enviroment. By this the system started to get oreganized at a rapid pace. The nhc did not see this coming!!!
Over the next day, or two. The system moved northwest, then north. While at the same time it became better oreganized. Upper level wind shear/With the warm Gulf stream helped. In so the Alex became a hurricane just to the south-southeast of Cape Fear at around 600z 3, August. A well defined eye formed. The hurricane later that day neared Outer banks. © Shows that the strongest winds where to the East of the eye. Half the eye wall was on land. So it is kind of hard to say that the hurricane did not make landfall. It made its closes pass just 9 nmi from the outer banks!!! While heavy rainfall with cat1 winds did effect the outer banks.
The hurricane then raced off to the northeast. It developed a very wide defined eye wall.(5th of August) In became only the second cat3, or major hurricane to ever form north of 38 north. Over the next few days the hurricane raced off to the northeast. Then Became extratropical on the 7th of August.
Wind Charts
(A)Here is a wind chart from Hrd. On the 1st of August, 1330 Utc, or around 9am pst/1pm est.
ftp://ftp.aoml.noaa.gov/pub/hrd/hwind/200...30/col08deg.png(A)
ftp://ftp.aoml.noaa.gov/pub/hrd/hwind/200...30/col08deg.pngIt shown that the system was still very weak only around 80 to 100 miles off the North Florida coast. Centered at 31 north/79 west. Max winds around 31 knots max winds.
(
This shows 38 knots at 130z 2, August. This means that the system became a tropical storm at 00z/8pm pst/11pm est 1st of August.
©
ftp://ftp.aoml.noaa.gov/pub/hrd/hwind/200...00/col04deg.pngHighest reported winds on land...
91 kt in Hatteras Village
Ocracoke Ferry 104 kts
Highest rainfall
Ocracoke 7.55"
Beafort 5.62"
Damaged
5 million
One death reported
Max Winds
125 mph
Min Pressure
957 mililbars
All maps made by Hrd.
Hurricane Bonnie
Forecaster Matthew
12-5-2004
A tropical wave moved across Dakar Senegal, early on the 29th of July. The system moved westward over the next few days. Over time as it moved into the central Ataltnic. It started to develop more convection near a LLC. Both shown by visible/Quickscat, shown a developing cirualtion at the low levels early on th 2nd of August. The nhc made the first Advisorie for tropical depresion 2. 11am/12z about 360 nmi east of Barbados. The system moved quickly, like many other system this season at 20 knots. The system because of its fast movement lost its cirualtion over the Eastern Caribbean on the 4th of August. It moved quickly across the Caribbean. For a time the tropical wave its self could not be seen/noticeable on visible/ir satellite. Once pass Jamica the system started to form covnection. Even a noted MLC by earlier on the 7th of August. The system then moved northwest into the channcel. Becoming much better oreganized. This system was noted with a well developed cdo. With banding forming by 11pm est. The satellite out of the Yact. Shown that the system had formed a eye with banding(Shown on a satellite by the nhc ("A").
When recon went out on the afternoon of the 8th of August. They found a system with a 8 nmi wide eye wall. With 56 knot 1,500 winds. Which the nhc said was 50 knots at the surface. At the time the system was a good amount less oreganized. Because of this fact that the eye was becoming alot less oreganized. The mwhc thinking is it was a weak hurricane for a short time later on the 8th of August.
The system holded its own into the 10th of August. With a well developed but small cdo. The nhc kept the system around 45 to 50 knots. A late morning on the 10th, recon pass also shown the winds just a few hundred feet off the surface of more then 70 knot. The system started to weaken by the afternoon on the 10th. The system still had a small cdo at the time. Over that time frame from 5am to 5am the 11th of August the system was fairly weak. With very little covnection. Recon still reported winds of 35 to 40 knots.
Then Bonnie, got under a area of light shear/a warm pocket of water. By later on in the morning of the 11th. A large area of covnection/cdo formed. As the system moved to the northeast. A buoy called 42001 shown that the system was becoming much better oreganized. It shown 40 knot winds just 45 nmi from the center.
Later on that day, It made a sharp turn because of a strong cold front moving into the area. Wind shear was starting to weaken the cdo at this time. By later that night the shear had undercat Bonnie. Changing the system. The once tight center was now a broad LLC at this time. Earlier on the 12th a recon found that Bonnie was only a weak tropical storm. With most of its strongest winds away from the center.
Radar later on the 12th, shown that the system was making landfall as a very weak tropical storm. Its center by both the buoy data around the system. In the radar shown it was disoreganized. Troical storm Bonnie made landfall a few hours later. Near
The system then moved up the east coast droping inches of rainfall with many tornadoe's through out.
Max winds
65 knots
A
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/prelims/2004bonnie4.jpgDeaths 3 reported...Cause from a Tornadoe.
Preliminary report
Hurricane Charley
Aug 9-15, 2004
Tom Smugala
Midwest Hurricane Center
Hurricane Charley was a category five hurricane on the Saffir/Simpson hurricane scale that made landfall along north Captiva Island in Southwest Florida on the Afternoon of August 13 and caused devestating damage in Charlotte County and surronding areas. Preliminary figures show damage to be at least 30 billion dollars along with estimated 25 fatalities.
History.
Charley formed from a westward moving tropical wave on August 9th about 100 miles east of the Winward Islands. Charley moved at a very fast speed to just south of Jamacia on the 11th as a hurricane and made landfall early on the 13th near Playa Del Cajio with sustained winds estimated at 120 mph. Charley weakend to a category two hurricane with sustained winds of 110mph while moving over western Cuba and moved over the Dry Tortugas while once again becoming a major hurricane. It's estimated around noon eastern time Charley became a category 4 hurricane with sustained winds around 135mph. Over the next several hours leading to landfall Charley based on radar and satellite continued to rapidly intensify and around 3pm edt right before first landfall on Captiva Island it's estimated that Charley hit category 5 status with sustained winds of 160mph in a very narrow area around the eye. Around 430 pm edt the eye of Charley made second landfall near Punta Gorda with sustained winds around 150 mph. Hurricane force sustained winds extended about 35 miles from the center with hurricane force gust extending about 60 miles from the center. Widespread damage occured in Lee, Charlotte, and Desoto counties. Minor damage was also noted in Collier county. The most severe damage occured in Costal Lee county and Charlotte counties. Severe Damage occured on captiva Island as Charley made landfall at peak intensity. Storm surge is only estimated at around 10 feet cause of the northest movement of the storm prevented a more severe surge. Most buildings on Captiva island sustained Severe damage. A inlet a couple hundred yards wide also cut thru the island. Damage in the Charlotte County area was more severe due to mobile homes and older buildings. Most buildings in the landfall zone in Charlotte county sustained Severe or total damage from the winds. Most mobile homes were destroyed along with many roofs missing off busnisses and homes. Charlotte Regional Medical Center sustained Severe damage along with the Charlotte County Sherffis dept building was destroyed. As Charley moved inland Severe damage was also noted in Arcadia where winds estimated around 140mph caused devestation and blew the roof of a shelter off. later in the night Charley passed over Orlando Florida where wind gust of over 100mph occured causing widespread power outages and damage. As Charley exited Florida just off Daytona beach with sustained winds estimated at 80mph Charley made landfall again on Midday on the 14th near Cape Ramin in South Carolina with sustained winds of 80mph. The center moved offshore once again and made landfall near Myrtle Beach with sustained winds of 80mph. Charley then moved over North carolina and Virgina where he became Extra Tropical and became intrained with a frontal system over New England.
Hurricane Dannielle
Forecaster Matthew
12-6-2004
A very well defined surface low pressure, formed on the 10th, to the 11th of August. This area almost could be called a depression over land. Reasons are that it had banding futures around a very well defined surface cirualtion center. The cyclone/low moved off the coast early on the 12th. With a very well defined LLC...Which by the well defined LLC, with the banding futures that where already forming. The mwhc is going to upgraded it at 1800/2pm pst/5pm est 12th of August. Also because of the extra covnection that formed over the system just as the system moved off the coast.
The system moved westward through the first few days of its life, as a troical cyclone. Becoming a tropical storm by the nhc at 00z/8pm pst/11pm est, 14th 2004. The thinking by looking at the data like visible satellites/Quickscats. That this system could of been a tropical storm as early as 12z/8am pst/11am est, 13th.
Because of a favable upper level enviroment. The system started to go through rapid intensification as early as the 15th. A weakness formed in the Azores high later on that day. Which started to turn the cyclone to the northwest. The cyclone did not take long to form a well defined eye. In which the cyclone became a hurricane.(Nhc thinks 00z/15th of August). The weakness then moved the cyclone to the north as a fairly strong hurricane(cat3). A shortwave/front then increased the upper level wind shear over the system over the next few days. Which weaken the system down to a tropical storm by 1200z 18 August. The cyclone then weaken more, becoming a remant low pressure area.
There was no reports of damage.
There was no reports of death.
The mwhc, thinking is that it was slightly stronger around 115 mph. So Danielle becomes by the mwhc a Major hurricane.
Max winds 115 mph
Min pressure 964 millibars
Tropical storm Earl
Forecaster Matthew
12-5-2004
Tropical storm Earl, started as a tropical wave moving off of Africa, on the 10th of August. The wave was moving quickly across the Eastern, then into the central Atlantic. By the the 13th of August a low pressure, with a clearly defined LLC. Was shown with quickscats/visible satellite. It was centered 8 north/48 west on the 13th of August about a little over a 1000 miles east of the leeward islands. The nhc upgraded the cyclone to a 30 knot tropical depression at the 5pm advisorie.
The system raced westward, with disoreganized convection over the next few days. The system was moving as fast as amazing 25 knots. Even so for a short time a area of convection/cdo did form which made the system up to a 45 knot tropical storm. This was backed up by the airforce hurricane hunters/Quickscat data on the 15th of August.
The report shown winds of upwards of 30 knots over the southern windward/leeward islands. So this was with out quastion a tropical storm at the time. The system then moved north of south America. With both the tropical storm death zone(Meaning the system was moving 20 knots) In the fact it was so close to south America. The system opened up into a open wave on the 15th of August. It raced across the Caribbean...In became a hurricane in the eastern Pacific on the 23erd of August.
We are agreeing with the nhc on this system....
Winds 45 knots
Min pressure 1009 millibars
...Frances will be done before the 12-9-2004...
Hurricane Gaston
Forecaster Matthew
12-6-2004
Hurricane Gaston, formed from a cold front. Later on the 22th of August. This low pressure area slowly becomed better defined over the next 36 to 48 hours. While off the south Carolina coast. Later on the 26th, this area of low pressure had a clearly defined LLC. Shown by visible/quick data. Later on the 26 around 18z convection started to form. Which it is likely it was a depression by 00z 26th. This cyclone slowly moved westward/west-northwestward at the south Carolina coast. The nhc upgraded the system at 12z, the 27th of August at around 115 n mi southeast of Charleston, South Carolina.
The cyclone then moved westward. While getting better oreganized over the next 12 hours. To become a tropical storm later that day. Recon data found 56 knot winds on the 28th of August. A strong front/shortwave then started to turn the cyclone to the northwest later on the 28th into the 29th. The radar late on the 28th into the 29th of August. Shown that the system had a well defined eye. As the system was moving inland a well defined eye formed on the Ir/Visible satellite. Data from around the area shown that winds where around 70 to 85mph gust around the system. Charleston and McClellanville had around 65 knot/75 mph one minute winds. In which is the reason why this system is made a hurricane. The system then moved northward over the next 12 to 24 hours. The system moved slowly flooding every thing in its path. Richman va, Got upwards of 150 million dollars worth of damage. While the system did weaken to a depression. As the system was moving into the Chesapeake Bay/Delmarva Peninsula. In believe it or not it regained tropical storm force winds at that time. In was upgraded!!!
The system then moved out into the Atlatnic, becoming extratropical 12 hours later.
A buoy off shore of 71 knots gust with 985.1 millibar.
8 death where caused by Gaston.
With some damage to over 3,000 strutures over the Charleston area...
Damage by the Noaa/Nhc/Nws is 130 million dollars.
The rainfall ranged from a inch to 10 inches over the area...
Here is a wind field maps(By Hrd)003/29th of August.
ftp://ftp.aoml.noaa.gov/pub/hrd/hwind/200...03/col08deg.pngIt shown winds of near 50 knots!!!
Tropical storm Hermine
Forecaster Matthew
12-5-2004
Tropical storm Hermine, formed from a area of low pressure to the East of hurricane Gaston(recently upgraded).
Tropical storm Hermine, formed into a depression on the 27th of August, just 200 nmi south of Bermuda. The system developed from a frontal zone that was moving slowly across the west-central Atlantic. This frontal zone slowly formed a area of low pressure around the 26th of August. This low pressure had a closed LLC as early as the 26th of August on both visible/Quickscats. The low pressure then turned westwards around a strong Bermuda high pressure. On the same day Tropical storm/hurricane Gaston, was forming off the Coast of the Us. By the 29th of August(When the real first Advisorie was issued) The system was made a tropical storm 35 knots/1012 millibars.
The system at the time had a deep area of convection. With a well defined LLC. Shown on quickscats/visible satellite. But later on that day upper level wind shear increased out of the northwest. Which sheared the convection to the south of the cirulation. The system then turned to the northwest. Because of a front moving out from the east coast.
The system then raced northwest into the coast of Massachusetts. The mwhc/nws/nhc did not report any tropical storm force winds at landfall...A buoy a few hours earlier did not report the system was a tropical storm any more. The mwhc has no choice but to say that this system was not a tropical storm at landfall. We are making the system a 25 knot depression at landfall.
No damage was reported...
Mo death was reported...
Tropical storm Hermine, top out on the Morning of the 29th of August.
Max winds 55 knots
Min pressure 1002 millibars
Forecaster Matthew
Tropical Cyclone Report
Hurricane Ivan
2-24 September 2004
Tom Smugala
Midwest Hurricane Center
November 20 2004
Ivan was category 5 classic long track Cape Verde Storm that spread death and destruction
from the Carribean and made landfall as a category 4 hurricane along the Gulf Coast.
a. History
Ivan Formed from a tropical wave that moved off the west coast of Africa on August 31. Ivan became tropical depression on september 1st, a tropical storm on the 2nd, and became a hurricane on the 4th and a major hurricane early on the 5th. Ivan moved westward over the next several days where he passed over the southern winward islands hitting Granada with sustained winds of 125mph and causing large amounts of damage and loss of life. Ivan moved westnorth west for the next few days reaching category 5 status early on the 9th over the Central Caribbean sea. Ivan then moved just south of the Island of Jamacia not before causing extensive damage on the island as he weakend to category 4 just south of Jamacia due to some minor shear. On the 11th Ivan once again became a Category 5 with max sustained winds near 175mph. Ivan moved just south of Grand Cayman where he caused extream damage and loss of life. late on the 13th Ivan passed the very tip of Cuba with sustained winds of near 160mph. For the next 3 days Ivan slowly moved thru the Gulf of Mexico and weakend to a category 4 on the 14th as Ivan encountered some drier air. Ivan weakend to 135mph on the 14th but during the morning of the 15th Ivan moved over a warm eddy with sst of 86 plus degrees and became better organized as the CDO expanded and the cloud tops cooled. The pressure fell throught the day and Ivan's winds increased to near 150mph during the afternoon of the 15th and the pressure fell to 931 millibars. After the late afternoon intensification burst Ivan started becoming less organized due to dry air from the west and north and slightly cooler SST of 80-83 range. The pressure continued to rise and the eye became open somewhat to the South from the dry air. Still a dangerous storm Ivan made landfall around 2am just east of Gulf Shores Alabama. The pressure rose to 943 millibars and the sustained winds decreased to 135mph still a category 4. The sustained winds around Gulf shores are estimated to be around 100mph with gust to around 120 as most of the wind data was lost. However the 135mph winds are estimated to occured on the eastern and northeastern side of eyewall figure 1
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/mob/ivan_page/rada..._wind_paint.GIF about 10-15 miles east of Gulf Shores somewhere near the Pensecola area or just west. Most data figure 2
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/mob/ivan_page/Ivan-main.htm Note before landfall most data was lost before the lowest pressure and strongest wind occured. Ivan moved up the east coast and moved off the Delmarva on the 19th, moved over south Florida and became a Tropical Storm once again on the 23rd Striking SW LA with winds of 45mph. Ivan then weakend over Texas the next day.
b. Casualty and Damage Statistics
It is not clear on the finale damage and death toll yet, but Ivan caused extream damage to the Island of Granada, extensive damage to Jamacia and Catastrphic damage to Grand Cayman and extream western Cuba. The damage in Alabama and Pensecola was extream from the storm surge of around 15 feet and 135mph winds with gust to around 150mph. Early estimates are to be over ten billion dollars making it the third most costliest hurricane behind Andrew and Charley. Ivan ranks with storms such as Camille, Elosie, Frederic as one of the most devestating storms to hit the NE Gulf Coast. While HRD debates the NHC's intensity of Ivan damage to trees, homes and total structure failure is consistant with a category 4 hurricane according to the MWHC. While HRD can debate the intensity MWHC stands behind it's intensity at landfall.
Tropical Cyclone Report
Hurricane Jeanne
13 - 28 September 2004
Tom Smugala
Midwest Hurricane Center
December 7 2004
Jeanne produced heavy rain over Guadeloupe, Puerto Rico and the Dominican Republic and caused an estimated 3100 or more deaths in Haiti from torrential rainfall flooding. Jeanne then hit the northern Bahamas and the Southeast Florida coast as a strong category three hurricane.
a. Synoptic History
Jeanne formed from a tropical wave that moved from Africa to the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean on 7 September. The wave moved across the Atlantic until a tropical depression formed from it on 13 September as it approached the Leeward Islands . From 13 to 18 September, the motion was toward the west-northwest at a speed of 8 to 12 mph, under the steering flow of a subtropical high pressure ridge located to Jeanne's north. The cyclone strengthened to a tropical storm on 14 September .Continuing west-northwestward, its circulation moved slowly over the Virgin Islands and the center moved inland over southeastern Puerto Rico on 15 September when maximum sustained surface winds reached 75mph. The center moved across Puerto Rico, then over the Mona Passage and inland over the eastern tip of the Dominican Republic. Jeanne was a hurricane with 85mph winds while over the Mona Passage and during the Dominican Republic landfall, but weakened over the terrain of Hispaniola. By 1900 UTC on 17 September, the cyclone briefly weakened to a depression and moved over Atlantic waters just north of Hispaniola. On 18 September the low level center moved westward away from the deep convection and dissipated and a new center reformed to the northeast of the old center. Jeanne's slow forward motion across the Caribbean contributed to heavy rainfall along its path. These rains and fresh-water flooding and mudslides caused thousands to die in Haiti. While Jeanne was striking with over the Caribbean , Hurricane Ivan moved over the Gulf of Mexico and inland across the southeastern United States. By 18 September, Ivan's circulation had combined with a short wave trough in the westerlies and moved to the northeastern U.S. coast where it eroded the ridge to the north of Jeanne. This placed Jeanne in a weak steering flow that persisted for five days. Jeanne moved slowly over the southeastern Bahamas as a tropical storm and then moved in an anticyclonic loop about 400 n mi east of the northwestern Bahamas. Jeanne strengthened to a hurricane with 105mph winds by the time it completed an amazing loop on 23 September. By 23 September, the trough located over the northeastern U.S. coast moved east and was replaced by a deep-layer migratory ridge that moved Jeanne on a track just north of due westward. On 24 September, Jeanne moved over its own track from days earlier and encountered cooler waters around 79 degrees caused by upwelling from the hurricane. This is a factor in the decreasing of the winds from 105mph to 85mph 0000 UTC on 24 September. Continuing westward at 10 to 12mph and moving away from cooler water, the winds increased to 125mph (category three on the Saffir/Simpson hurricane scale) by 1215 UTC on 25 September as the center moved over Abaco Island and then Grand Bahama Island in the northern Bahamas. Jeanne made landfall on the east coast of Florida early on 26 September with the center of its 40n mi diameter eye crossing the coast at the southern end of Hutchinson Island just east of Stuart at 0415 UTC on 26 September. Maximum winds at landfall are estimated at 125mph over a area north of the center. Note a eyewall replacement cycle and very slight dry air kept Jeane from becoming stronger and from becoming a category four hurricane. At landfall Jeanne was about to go under rapid intensification as the pressure was reported to be 947 millibars. Jeanne moved across central Florida while weakening and began to recurve around the western periphery of the ridge mentioned above. The hurricane weakened to a tropical storm while centered about 30 n mi north of Tampa at 1745 UTC on 26 September and then weakened to a tropical depression about 18 hours later while moving northward across central Georgia accompanied by heavy rain. The depression moved over the Carolinas, Virginia, and the Delmarva Peninsula. It merged with a frontal zone and became extratropical at 0000 UTC on 29 September while moving eastward off of the U.S coast and into the North Atlantic.
b. meteological statistics
Jeanne made landfall as a tropical storm around 1600 UTC on September 15 across the southeastern coast of Puerto Rico with sustained winds of 75mph. The observing site at San Juan recorded a sustained wind of 48 mph and St. Croix Airport reported a sustained wind of 50mph. The highest reported total rainfall amount was at Camp Garcia in Vieques, which recorded 23.75 inches. total rainfall amounts averaged from 7 to 20 inches with locally higher amounts. This rainfall produced major flooding. The U.S. and British Virgin Islands also experienced heavy flooding.
Jeanne caused deadly heavy rains and tropical storm/hurricane force winds across most of Hispaniola, and hurricane force winds over extreme eastern Haiti. Although no rainfall observations are available at this time some areas of Haiti were completely devastated from extream flooding and mudslides along the mountains
The highest 1 minute surface winds of 125mph occured from early on the 25 to 1000UTC on the 26. The hurricane was moving over Grand Bahama Island and nearing the Florida east coast during this time. The estimated surface winds are based on satellite image estimates from the MWHC forecast team along with radar images and NOAA recon. While the NHC once again understimates the intensity MWHC is confident that the winds of 125mph did occur at landfall based on satellite, radar estimates and from damage along the florida east coast. Also Jeanne was in the process to start rapid intensification prior to landfall. Storm surge ranged from 3-10 feet along the central and southeast Florida coast.
c. casualty and damage statistics
According to News reports, Haiti's death toll is over 3,000, including nearly 2,900 in the mud drowned coastal city of Gonaives. Over 200,000 people in Gonaives lost their homes in Jeanne. One death was reported in Puerto Rico, two deaths were reported in Florida, and one death was reported from South Carolina.
It's estimated that the total damage in the United states is over 10 billion dollars. With weaker hurricane Frances passing over the same area just a few weeks prior it's hard to tell the damage apart, but the NHC estimate that Frances cost more is inaccurate to the MWHC.
Karl will be done soon....
Lisa will be done soon...
Tropical storm Matthew
Forecaster Matthew
12-6-2004
On the 19th of August. A troipcal wave moved out from Africa, into the Eastern Atlantic ocean. This wave moved across the Atlantic for the next 2 or 2 1/2 weeks. Making it into the Bay of Campeche on the 5th of October. It is quit rare for a tropical cyclone to form over the west central Bay of Campeche. In early October only one or two storms have been shown doing so. This system then about 80 nmi to the west of the Mexican coast line. Early on the 7th of October a clearly defined LLC was formed. WIth most of its covnection over the eastern or northeastern quads of the cyclone. The mwhc upgraded the system at around 5pm pst 7th of October. While it took the nhc another 18 hours intill recon found a closed cirualtion just east of Tampico, Mexico. The nhc upgraded it to a depression at 12z 8th, of October. The system then turned northeastward. Because of a shortwave over the southern United states a large amount of upper level wind shear kept the system from oreganizing any more. The same night at 1800z tropical storm Matthew was named. Matthew reached a peak of 40 knots on the 9th of October. The cyclone then made landfall near Cocodrie,Louisian about 1100z 10th of October. The sytem then quickly weaken to a depression.
Matthew droped heavy rainfall. The max rainfall reported was 16.23" at St.Johns Parish.
Damage was Caused by rain or Tornadoes. In this case it was a tornadoe that formed near Golden Meodows. Which damaged a house.
Other damage was done to 20 houses because of Flooding/Surge.
No reports of death...
Max winds 40 knots
Min pressure 997 millibars
Nicole will be done soon...
Tropical storm Otto
Forecaster Matthew
12-7-2004
Otto formed from a upper level area of low pressure. Over the Northeastern Atlantic ocean. The system first started to develop off a frontal low. Earier on Friday, 26ths of Novemeber. The first signs of a developing cyclone. Where with the frontal-low pressure becoming its own area non-frontal low. By later on that day, convection started to form over the area of low pressure. Also where the signs of the wind field becoming more subtropical from extratropical(This was by the Quickscats data). The mwhc upgraded the system to subtropical-storm 17 later on that night.
The system kept becoming better oreganized, over the next few days. With it becoming fully tropical later on the 28th of Novemeber. As the system developed banding, with a layer of convection near the center of the cyclone. The system moved north intill around 12z first of Decemeber. Then a large area of high pressure developed to its north. Which moved the cyclone to the south/southeast. A large area of low pressure centered over Northeastern Canada. Then sheared the system out of the northeast. Which exposed the cirulation with all the convection to the south. The mwhc, thinks by the visible/Quickscats. That the system stayed a tropical depression, to early on the third of Decemeber. The system was down graded by the mwhc at 11am est on Decemeber 3.
At around 1200 to 1800z, 29th of Novemeber. The system hit its Max the mwhc had it at 55 knots/65. It was with out quastion a tropical storm as early as later on the 27th of Novemeber.
Max Winds 55 knots/65 mph
Min Pressure 993 millibars
Tropical storm Otto Mwhc Advisories!!!
http://s2.invisionfree.com/Tropical_weathe...p?showtopic=638 
Tropical Storm Otto
